Where Have All the True Point Guards Gone?


Seth Davis notes that Duke, Florida, Georgetown, and Purdue currently lack true point guards. Jeff Goodman suggests West Virginia does as well.

Where have all the true point guards gone?

Perhaps Pete Thamel and Bill Simmons, who addressed the question in 2007 and 2001, respectively, have an idea.

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Dear Baylor's Scott Drew


Congratulations on landing Perry Jones, a 6-10 center who is the best high school player ever to sign with the Baylor Bears.

But a word to the wise. Technically, Jones' presence on the honor roll is not an "intangible." High school honor roll assignments are based on grades. They are definite and tangible.

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Bear Market?


I couldn't agree more with The Sporting News' Mike DeCourcy. I too am shocked -- shocked -- that Mick Cronin's Cincinnati Bearcats didn't receive a single Top 25 vote.

Cronin can flat out coach and Deonta Vaughn, Yancy Gates, and Lance Stephenson are as good a threesome as you'll find in the Big East. It is only a matter of time until the Bearcats win their way into the rankings.

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yocohoop thought


Seth Davis’ long-awaited entry into the college hoops blogosphere is the best news I’ve heard (on the college hoops front) in years.

I’m looking forward to another great year of hoops – and hoops analysis.

Now if only the WWLIS would frontpage John Gasaway…

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Student-Athlete -- With Benefits?


Is it really legal for the WAC to award a $2,000 postgraduate scholarship to a former student-athlete? I assume that if it where not, the WAC would not annually bestow the Stan Bates Award. But what's to stop Kentucky, for example, from awarding John Wall a $50,000 postgraduate scholarship after he flees for the NBA in the spring? Or UCLA from granting Ed O'Bannon a $100,000 postgraduate scholarship years after his departure from Westwood?

Utah State forward Gary Wilkinson was selected this week as the male winner of the Stan Bates Award, which goes annually to the top male and female student-athlete in the Western Athletic Conference. Selection is based on a student's athletic and academic accomplishments. The prize is a $2,000 postgraduate scholarship. Wilkinson averaged 17.1 points per game last season to help Utah State go 30-5 and reach the NCAA tournament.

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questions


Why doesn’t Mississippi State try to double down on its lottery bet on Renardo Sidney by also signing the “supermodel with herpes,” Lance Stephenson? Alone, Sidney could lead the Bulldogs to the Sweet 16. But together with Sidney (and Jarvis Varnado), Stephenson might pave MSU a road to the Final Four. If the Bulldogs are willing to gamble on one elite but potentially ineligible recruit, why not two?

Why is Sean Miller’s recruiting haul at Arizona being hailed as an incredible coup? Granted, inking three Top 100 players in less than a (spring) month is no small feat. But Kevin Parrom earlier committed to Miller at Xavier and Solomon Hill earlier signed with Lute Olson at Arizona. Kyryl Natyazhko may have been the Wildcats’ biggest pure get – and he had been seriously considering joining Miller at Xavier.

Why would any NBA team make Stephen Curry a top-10 pick (given the likelihood that Curry is no more productive in the NBA than Eddie House)?

After failing to receive an invite to the Chicago Pre-Draft Camp, how long before Nic Wise withdraws from the NBA Draft?

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NBC Sports


Before and during the NCAA Tournament, I was offered -- and appreciated -- the opportunity to contribute a handful of college basketball columns to NBC Sports. See here, here, here, and here.

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A $2 million man?


I like Anthony Grant. He is a talented coach and recruiter with an impressive resume, particularly for an SEC school. Grant is a great hire for Alabama, where he'll likely succeed.

But Grant isn't worth $2 million a year. No way. No how. Not now.

Grant's been a head coach for only three seasons. He owes his success to a senior, Eric Maynor, he did not recruit. Most importantly, he is much less accomplished than the very large number of coaches who earn significantly less than $2 million a year -- including Grant's old boss, Oklahoma's Jeff Capel.

Even Georgia Tech's Paul Hewitt, the most overpaid coach in power conference basketball, currently pulls in significantly less than $2 million a year.

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The Last Four Bids


After Mississippi State defeated Tennessee, four at-large bids remain for the following eight clubs. Which teams would you select for the field of 65?

RPI Avg RPI Win Avg RPI Loss vs. RPI 1-50 vs. RPI 51-100 Last 12 Games Away Neutral Team
31 147 42 2-6 5-3 8-4 5-5 4-2 San Diego State
40 133 32 5-8 4-2 5-7 4-6 2-1 Minnesota
41 158 92 2-2 7-3 11-1 8-4 3-1 Creighton
44 113 40 4-10 5-1 7-5 4-7 2-2 Wisconsin
47 181 80 2-3 1-1 8-4 8-3 5-2 Saint Mary's
51 139 40 4-8 4-3 6-6 2-6 4-3 Maryland
63 140 45 6-10 2-2 7-5 2-9 2-1 Arizona
68 163 45 6-9 1-1 6-6 5-6 2-2 Penn State

In head-to-head play, San Diego State lost to St. Mary's and Arizona. Minnesota swept Wisconsin, which swept Penn State. Minnesota and Penn State split their season series.

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Doug Gottlieb, Rising Star


I completely agree with Fox Sports' Jason Whitlock; Doug Gottlieb is "smart, opinionated and unafraid. ESPN needs to expand his role."

This afternoon, Gottlieb alone predicted both Dayton and Wisconsin were much less secure than the majority of bracketologists believed. As it were, both the Flyers and the Badgers were among the final four teams selected for the field of 65.

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Arizona's Bad Karma


After Arizona archrival Arizona State lost to USC to reduce the number of at-large bids available, former Arizona and current Tennessee guard J.P. Prince missed what would have been the game-tying free throw, then turned the ball over with under 10 seconds remaining against Mississippi State. The Bulldogs' subsequent victory further decreased the likelihood the Wildcats will go dancing.

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Nobody Wants A No. 1 Seed


Not Kansas. Not Oklahoma. Not Michigan State. Not Wake Forest.

Even Connecticut, Pittsburgh, and North Carolina tried to unlock their No 1 seeds.

If Louisville tonight defeats Syracuse, the Cardinals will secure a No 1 seed. If not, Memphis will receive the final No. 1 seed by default.

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Tuesday's Duds! Of! The! Day! (Bubble Teams Only)


In honor of bubble-bursting losses by Georgetown, Cincinnati, and Kansas State, I present tonight present the day's duds (rather than studs).

G - Chris Wright, Georgetown. With 9:38 remaining and the Hoyas up 46-32, their second leading scorer missed a layup. Moments later, St. John's comeback began. Wright would go on to miss another layup, this time with 5:20 left and the Hoyas up 46-38, and commit the shooting foul that allowed the Red Storm's D.J. Kennedy to make the go ahead free throws in overtime.

G - Dion Dixon, Cincinnati. With Mike Williams nursing a sprained MCL, the Bearcats needed to replace his production against South Florida. Dixon tried to do so -- and failed. He made his first field goal 5:25 into the contest, then missed his next eight, seven three pointers included.

G - Denis Clemente, Kansas State. The Wildcats' leading scorer missed all of his field goal attempts in the final 10 minutes. In the loss to Oklahoma State, he finished five for 15 from the field, committed four turnovers, and didn't grab a single rebound.

G - Larry Davis, Cincinnati. The Bearcats' normally productive reserve did more harm than good at South Florida. In 13 minutes, he missed three field goals, committed a turnover, and didn't score a single point.

F - Landon Milbourne, Maryland. The Terrapins' second leading scorer was MIA in Maryland's loss to Wake Forest. The junior missed his first five shots, didn't connect from the field until 2:34 remained in the second half, and finished with only two points. Had Milbourne played better, Maryland likely would have notched the quality win the Terrapins' need to secure an at-large bid.

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Morning in America


Good Morning Must-Reads

1. The Madison (WI) Times' Mike Lucas on the education of Ohio State's freshmen. "Before the start of the 2007-2008 season, Ohio State men's basketball coach Thad Matta decided to conduct an informal Q & A with his freshmen players. 'What's an automatic bid.' Matta got no response. 'What does the 'bubble' mean?' No reaction. 'At large?' Silence. 'They didn't know,' Matta sighed. 'None of them knew.'" LINK.

2. Sports Illustrated's Luke Winn on DeJuan Blair's offensive rebounding. "Blair has been the most dominant major-conference offensive rebounder of not just this season, but the past eight seasons... B[asketball] P[rospectus] recently made the mind-boggling observation that Blair is also outrebounding seven D-I teams on the offensive glass." LINK.

3. The Wall Street Journal's Darren Everson on Virginia Tech. "What if Stephen and Seth Curry, the sons of Virginia Tech legend Dell Curry, had come to Tech, rather than being allowed to slip through the school's recruiting net?" LINK.

4. McClatchy Newspapers' Robbi Pickeral and Ken Tysiac on ACC players' favorite moves. "If the best players get the ball in their best spots, the defense often can’t stop them." LINK.

5. USA Today's Jack Carey on Selection Friday for NCAA Tournament officials. "Game officials can log on to a secure Internet site Friday night and learn whether they're among the 96 officials and eight alternates selected to work the [NCAA Tournament]." LINK.

Good Morning Quote

“I know he never listened to his uncle about anything." Syracuse coach Jim Boeheim on Donte Greene, whose uncle, Derrick Marcano, received a $50,000 line of credit during the 2007-08 season as part of Ceruzzi Sports and Entertainment's efforts to sign Greene. LINK.

Good Morning Stat

Dayton guard London Warren averages 4.1 assists per outing in only 20.6 minutes of play. According to KenPom.com, when Warren is in the game, he assists a whopping 37.7 percent of his teammates' field goals, good for 11th best in the country.

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When there is blood in the streets, should hoopheads buy Butler?


No. The young Bulldogs have hit a wall on defense.

Should contrarian hoopheads head Baron Rothschild’s famous advice, “when there is blood in the streets, buy real estate,” and upgrade rather than downgrade the Bulldogs after their loss last night to Cleveland State?

The arguments for buying:

First, Butler still has a solid resume, with wins over Xavier, UAB, Northwestern, and Davidson. Second, the Bulldogs are also very consistent. According to Ken Pomeroy, Butler is the nation's sixth most consistent club. Third, Cleveland State isn't half bad. The Vikings won at Syracuse and entered the Horizon League with more than twice as many wins (21) as losses (10). Fourth and finally, Butler yesterday played almost as badly as it is capable of playing -- and still only lost by three points. (Using Pomeroy's stats, I computed the difference in the Bulldogs' average and actual offensive and defensive efficiencies in each of their games this season. Only once, in a loss at Wisconsin-Green Bay, was Butler's combined deviation from their average efficiencies notably worse than last night's deviation).

The arguments for selling:

First, Butler's resume isn't exceptional. The Bulldogs' best wins came either in late November and early December or against teams that are at best on the NCAA Tournament bubble. Butler also lost at hapless Wisconsin-Milwaukee and at home (!) to Loyola of Chicago. Second, the Bulldogs aren't particularly efficient. According to Ken Pomeroy (and before last night's loss), Butler is only the nation's 58th most efficient offensive club and 46th most efficient defensive club, making their Top 25 rating hard to justify. Third, Cleveland State lost to Youngstown State, Wichita State, and Wisconsin-Milwaukee and isn't great. But last night's close contest was no fluke. Butler twice beat the Vikings by only two points before last night's loss. Fourth, finally -- and most importantly -- Butler has hit a wall on defense (contrary to what coach Brad Stevens told the Indianapolis Star's David Woods in late February). The young Bulldogs have played significantly less efficient defense in their final 11 Horizon League games than they did in their first 10. Butler allowed conference opponents to score 0.12 more points per possession late in the season than it did early in the season.

Points Scored/Allowed Per Possession (from KenPom.com) First 10 Horizon League Games Final 11 Horizon League Games
Butler's Offensive Efficiency 1.06 1.08
Butler's Defensive Efficiency 0.87 0.99

Conclusion:

Based on Butler's late-season defensive collapse, hoopheads should read the writing on the wall and downgrade the Bulldogs.

[Postscript after the NCAA Tournament]: Oops! Guess not. I couldn't have been more wrong.

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