Deconstructing Michigan's Crazy Week

By Yoni Cohen on Fri Feb 27, 2009 at 10:09:25 AM EST

Who believed Michigan might beat Purdue four days after losing to Iowa?

The weatherman.

No, really.

Ken Pomeroy didn't forecast last night's big upset. On the Wolverines' team page, he gave Michigan only a 33 percent chance of upsetting the Purdue Boilermakers.

But Pomeroy's consistency rating also suggested to bubble watchers that they should have this week expected the unexpected from John Beilein's club. Michigan (267), Iowa (324), and Purdue (232) are all ranked as among the nation's least consistent clubs. There was always a significant possibility that on Sunday Michigan would perform particularly poorly while Iowa performed particularly well and that on Thursday Michigan would have an especially good night well while Purdue have an especially rough outing.

If past is prologue, bubble watchers should on Saturday keep a close eye on UCLA against Cal. Both the Bruins (240) and Golden Bears (234) are inconsistent, hinting that while Pomeroy forecasts Cal will lose, the stars may align for another UCLA defeat.

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Deconstructing Michigan's Crazy Week | 3 comments (3 topical, 0 hidden)

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Deconstructing Michigan's Crazy Week | 3 comments (3 topical, 0 hidden)
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