By Yoni Cohen on Fri Feb 27, 2009 at 10:09:25 AM EST
Who believed Michigan might beat Purdue four days after losing to Iowa?
The weatherman.
No, really.
Ken Pomeroy didn't forecast last night's big upset. On the Wolverines' team page, he gave Michigan only a 33 percent chance of upsetting the Purdue Boilermakers.
But Pomeroy's consistency rating also suggested to bubble watchers that they should have this week expected the unexpected from John Beilein's club. Michigan (267), Iowa (324), and Purdue (232) are all ranked as among the nation's least consistent clubs. There was always a significant possibility that on Sunday Michigan would perform particularly poorly while Iowa performed particularly well and that on Thursday Michigan would have an especially good night well while Purdue have an especially rough outing.
If past is prologue, bubble watchers should on Saturday keep a close eye on UCLA against Cal. Both the Bruins (240) and Golden Bears (234) are inconsistent, hinting that while Pomeroy forecasts Cal will lose, the stars may align for another UCLA defeat.
"Easily the most complete national blog." Grant Wahl, Columnist Sports Illustrated, (01/26/05)
praise for this site
"I read your blog 2-3 times a day. Keep it coming!" Gregg Doyel, Columnist CBS Sports, (2004-2005)
praise for this site
"I really enjoy your site. It's easy to see why people keep coming back. I know I will." Jay Bilas, Analyst ESPN, (2004-2005)
praise for this site
"I love the site." Dan Wetzel, Columnist Yahoo Sports, (2004-2005)
praise for this site
"I check your blog every day. Grant [Wahl] was right -- it's the best one out there. I rely on it to keep me informed." Seth Davis, Reporter Sports Illustrated, (2004-2005)
premium blogads
praise for this site
"The definitive blog for college hoops. A regular stop." Mark Simon, Researcher ESPN (College Hoops Extra), (2004-2005)
lead blogads
praise for this site
"If you aren't reading this blog, you aren't following college basketball." Ed Cone, Columnist Greensboro News & Record, (2004-2005)